Model Comparison: AI Odds Maker vs ESPN FPI
Comparing prediction accuracy for the last 5 weeks (Weeks 14-18) of the 2025 NFL season
Head-to-Head PerformanceAI Model: 1/4 Categories Won
AI Odds Maker Model
Winner Accuracy:0.0%
Spread Accuracy:0.0%
O/U Accuracy:0.0%
Avg Score Error:0.0 pts
Based on 0 games in last 5 weeks
ESPN FPI
Winner Accuracy:62.5%
Spread Accuracy:52.8%
O/U Accuracy:51.2%
Avg Score Error:11.3 pts
Historical average (2020-2024 seasons)
Weekly Winner Prediction Accuracy (Last 5 Weeks)
Key Insights & Analysis
Score Prediction Precision: AI model has 11.3 points less error per game on average
Model Training Advantage: AI Odds Maker uses 2020-2025 data with real-time injury tracking, weather impact analysis, and advanced player impact scoring - factors not available to public ESPN FPI